1
00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:04,660
The fundamental basis for the
application of volume profile principles

2
00:00:04,660 --> 00:00:08,000
premise that the market has a memory and
tends to repeat its behavior.

3
00:00:08,700 --> 00:00:13,260
Certain zones are expected to behave in
the same way in the future as they have

4
00:00:13,260 --> 00:00:14,059
in the past.

5
00:00:14,060 --> 00:00:18,620
In other words, if a leveler zone acted
as a sign of acceptance because a large

6
00:00:18,620 --> 00:00:22,840
amount of volume was traded, it is
expected that trading at those price

7
00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:24,680
will be generated again in the future.

8
00:00:25,390 --> 00:00:29,330
This concept is crucial because it
implicitly suggests that the equilibrium

9
00:00:29,330 --> 00:00:33,690
zones, those zones where a large number
of contracts have been exchanged, will

10
00:00:33,690 --> 00:00:37,490
have a certain magnetism and will
generate price attraction towards that

11
00:00:37,730 --> 00:00:42,070
On the other hand, if there were price
levels that showed a certain refusal to

12
00:00:42,070 --> 00:00:46,570
negotiate, as evidenced by a low volume,
this lack of interest on the part of

13
00:00:46,570 --> 00:00:50,630
buyers and sellers to negotiate at those
price levels will influence the price.

14
00:00:51,120 --> 00:00:55,180
so that in the future, those same price
levels will again show this refusal to

15
00:00:55,180 --> 00:00:56,920
execute a large number of transactions.

16
00:00:57,780 --> 00:01:02,400
As we will see below, there are two ways
in which the price can represent this

17
00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:06,520
rejection on the chart, through rapid V
-turns, known as traps or false

18
00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:08,920
breakouts, and through rapid
displacement movements.

19
00:01:09,820 --> 00:01:14,040
The volume profile takes the principles
of auction theory and puts them into

20
00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:16,960
practice to visualize zones of interest
on the chart.

21
00:01:17,679 --> 00:01:22,160
Interest is simply measured by the
activity generated in a particular zone,

22
00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:24,380
that activity is identified by the
volume traded.

23
00:01:24,660 --> 00:01:28,900
The more volume traded, the more
prominent the horizontal bar will be

24
00:01:28,900 --> 00:01:29,900
price level.

25
00:01:29,980 --> 00:01:34,240
This tool will therefore make it easier
for us to identify areas of greater and

26
00:01:34,240 --> 00:01:38,380
lesser interest and help us to evaluate
the price in relation to them to

27
00:01:38,380 --> 00:01:41,100
determine whether an acceptance or
rejection is taking place.

28
00:01:41,980 --> 00:01:46,360
One caution to keep in mind is that the
market's memory is mainly short -term.

29
00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:50,520
This means that more recent trading
zones are more important than older

30
00:01:50,900 --> 00:01:55,200
When the price initiates an imbalance,
the first zone to be considered is the

31
00:01:55,200 --> 00:01:57,240
most immediate previous equilibrium
zone.

32
00:01:57,820 --> 00:02:02,080
The more time the price is spent away
from a particular acceptance area, the

33
00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:03,500
less significance it will have.

34
00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:08,479
If we have no other reference, it will
still be useful to evaluate it, but it

35
00:02:08,479 --> 00:02:12,580
important to be aware that the most
immediate equilibrium zones will most

36
00:02:12,580 --> 00:02:14,860
be the ones the market will look for
first.

37
00:02:15,390 --> 00:02:18,870
as they are the ones that best represent
the value at the moment.

38
00:02:19,490 --> 00:02:24,270
This is pure logic. A price range or
lateralization results from a market

39
00:02:24,270 --> 00:02:29,170
equilibrium. It is a context in which
the valuations of the participants are

40
00:02:29,170 --> 00:02:33,370
very similar, and therefore there are
rotations at the extremes of these

41
00:02:33,890 --> 00:02:38,430
These valuations are subject to the
current fundamental conditions, so small

42
00:02:38,430 --> 00:02:42,170
changes in these conditions will result
in imbalance movements toward former

43
00:02:42,170 --> 00:02:44,270
trading zones that are relatively close.

44
00:02:44,810 --> 00:02:48,930
and larger fundamental changes will
result in imbalances toward zones that

45
00:02:48,930 --> 00:02:51,070
at trading levels farther from the
current one.

46
00:02:51,630 --> 00:02:55,030
In this chart, we see an example of this
concept in Bitcoin.

47
00:02:55,990 --> 00:03:00,010
The market reached the higher price
levels, possibly accompanied by positive

48
00:03:00,010 --> 00:03:02,830
news and the greed of participants to
miss the move.

49
00:03:03,430 --> 00:03:07,510
Once the market entered a sideways
environment, buyers and sellers began to

50
00:03:07,510 --> 00:03:11,030
trade comfortably, as evidenced by this
rotation up and down.

51
00:03:11,430 --> 00:03:16,280
This is because both groups, at an
aggregate level, believed that the true

52
00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:18,260
of the asset was above these levels.

53
00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:22,880
But as we saw in the auction theory,
this efficiency can break down when new

54
00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:26,180
information emerges that creates
disagreement among the participants.

55
00:03:26,720 --> 00:03:31,600
In this case, the new information has a
negative sentiment and causes a change

56
00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:36,000
in the perceptions and valuations of the
agents, who now believe that price and

57
00:03:36,000 --> 00:03:37,440
value do not coincide.

58
00:03:37,780 --> 00:03:42,030
This latest information introduced into
the market whether in the form of news,

59
00:03:42,230 --> 00:03:45,830
rumors, or any other element that has
the ability to change the fundamental

60
00:03:45,830 --> 00:03:50,690
valuation of the asset, has caused the
value to decrease, and therefore traders

61
00:03:50,690 --> 00:03:53,790
begin to close long positions and open
short positions.

62
00:03:54,270 --> 00:03:57,210
Together, these auctions can cause the
markets to fall.

63
00:03:57,730 --> 00:04:01,950
When the bearish imbalance begins after
the distribution, the most likely

64
00:04:01,950 --> 00:04:05,310
scenario is that the price will visit
the trading area at the bottom.

65
00:04:06,090 --> 00:04:07,470
And this is what happens.

66
00:04:07,930 --> 00:04:12,310
The stop of the move occurs at the
previous sideways zone, which was the

67
00:04:12,310 --> 00:04:14,490
that gave rise to the last upward move.

68
00:04:14,990 --> 00:04:19,410
Here, we have a complete price cycle
with the accumulation, the bullish move,

69
00:04:19,670 --> 00:04:21,610
the distribution, and the bearish move.

70
00:04:22,029 --> 00:04:25,750
And once the market is trading at levels
where buyers and sellers again agree

71
00:04:25,750 --> 00:04:30,910
that these are fair prices, another
lateralization begins, another rotation

72
00:04:30,910 --> 00:04:32,230
produces these ups and downs.

73
00:04:32,670 --> 00:04:35,310
Once again, we are in a context of
equilibrium.

74
00:04:36,030 --> 00:04:40,050
which is maintained until new
information appears that changes the

75
00:04:40,050 --> 00:04:44,590
the agents and generates the imbalance
to one side or the other, depending on

76
00:04:44,590 --> 00:04:45,770
the sentiment of that information.

77
00:04:46,490 --> 00:04:51,290
In this case, it is now breaking through
its top, possibly led by some good news

78
00:04:51,290 --> 00:04:52,430
for the Bitcoin ecosystem.

79
00:04:52,790 --> 00:04:57,090
As we know, the next step after the
imbalance is to try to determine whether

80
00:04:57,090 --> 00:04:59,390
have an acceptance or rejection of that
imbalance.

81
00:05:00,450 --> 00:05:04,610
Acceptance is evidenced by effective
breaks where the price continues to move

82
00:05:04,610 --> 00:05:05,599
that direction.

83
00:05:05,600 --> 00:05:09,360
while rejections are false breaks or
traps that generate a reversal of the

84
00:05:09,360 --> 00:05:10,360
movement.

85
00:05:10,500 --> 00:05:15,340
Once again, the market successfully
imbalances to the upside, creating this

86
00:05:15,340 --> 00:05:19,220
acceptance pattern, which is nothing
more than a bullish breakout move plus

87
00:05:19,220 --> 00:05:24,240
test, before continuing the move to the
upside, where the market rebalances and

88
00:05:24,240 --> 00:05:27,720
another rotation is created by the
exchange between buyers and sellers.

89
00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:32,280
This is the dynamics of the market. The
point to note is that the upward

90
00:05:32,280 --> 00:05:34,600
movement stops again at the previous
distribution.

91
00:05:35,320 --> 00:05:39,680
in the previous sideways zone proving
this magnetism and attraction on the

92
00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:40,680
price.

93
00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:45,420
But before this last action, the market
took a brief pause in what would be the

94
00:05:45,420 --> 00:05:46,780
post -breakout test move.

95
00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:51,560
At first glance, it appears that there
is no previous sideways zone that could

96
00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:53,340
have acted magnetically on the price.

97
00:05:53,700 --> 00:05:58,120
But if you look at the distribution
profile, there are two well -identified

98
00:05:58,120 --> 00:05:59,120
-volume trading zones.

99
00:05:59,400 --> 00:06:03,580
These zones are known as high -volume
nodes, and we will talk about them

100
00:06:04,270 --> 00:06:08,750
The key is that the pause generated
higher trading and some rotation in the

101
00:06:08,750 --> 00:06:12,990
price because this trading zone had
already been previously established as a

102
00:06:12,990 --> 00:06:15,750
zone of interest as shown with the
volume node.

103
00:06:16,270 --> 00:06:18,710
And again, we are back to the same
situation.

104
00:06:19,050 --> 00:06:23,670
If the market becomes unbalanced at the
bottom of the last structure, the first

105
00:06:23,670 --> 00:06:26,570
stop would be set at the first area
immediately below.

106
00:06:26,870 --> 00:06:30,430
And if it continues to fall, the lower
area would be targeted.

107
00:06:31,230 --> 00:06:36,320
And as we can see, it has reached the
two structures below, creating a short

108
00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:39,960
pause when it interacts with the more
immediate one, and a further

109
00:06:39,960 --> 00:06:42,860
lateralization when it reaches the lower
structure zone.

110
00:06:43,420 --> 00:06:48,180
As we will see later, one of the uses we
will give to the identification of

111
00:06:48,180 --> 00:06:52,760
structures will be to establish targets,
based on the premise that the old

112
00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:57,360
trading zones exert a certain magnetism
on the price, attracting it towards

113
00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:00,180
them. But the story doesn't end there.

114
00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:04,800
If we zoom out and move away from what
we are observing, we see that the market

115
00:07:04,800 --> 00:07:07,820
continued to fall after the above, and
where did it stop?

116
00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:12,980
The market fell with some force until it
found an old equilibrium zone, at which

117
00:07:12,980 --> 00:07:17,080
point sellers began to unwind their
positions and buyers began to appear.

118
00:07:17,780 --> 00:07:21,780
Behavior that on an aggregate level
resulted in the halt of the bearish

119
00:07:21,780 --> 00:07:24,300
and the subsequent lateralization of the
market.

120
00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:29,410
As we can see, In environments where the
market has historical references above

121
00:07:29,410 --> 00:07:33,710
or below the current price, the most
normal thing is that it uses these old

122
00:07:33,710 --> 00:07:38,250
equilibrium zones to stop the trend
movements that may occur and find a new

123
00:07:38,250 --> 00:07:40,290
equilibrium among market participants.

